Archive for the ‘Politics’ Category

The Winner of the 2008 United States Presidential Election: Statistics

Thursday, November 6th, 2008

The polls have closed, the votes have been counted, and a clear winner has emerged from this election: statistics.  Okay, Barack Obama also won, but everyone else is covering that story.  So, let’s cover the real victory here, a victory for mathematics!

(more…) My New Favourite Political Site

Tuesday, June 17th, 2008

Mathematicians love Baseball.  Maybe not the game itself (though many do), but mathematicians tend to love the metagame behind Baseball, the statistics of Baseball.  As a result, there are a good number of mathematicians whose career is to analyse the statistics of Baseball.  One such mathematician is Nate Silver; well, technically, his degree is in economics, but that’s close enough.  Nate Silver is the co-author of the annual Baseball Prospectus, as well as many other books published by Baseball Prospectus.  Baseball Prospectus and its eponymous annual volume is a group devoted to analysing the statistics of Baseball and forecasting the game of Baseball.

However, I’m not here to talk about Baseball; I’m here to talk about politics.  In early 2008, Nate Silver started a site called FiveThirtyEight, a reference to the number of total electoral votes in a modern Presidential campaign.  This site proclaims to do, in their own words, “Electoral Projections Done Right.”